rookie quarterbacks 2021 stats


All Rights Reserved. This may be a sign that Fields needs to learn to take what is there in the face of pressure. Where Jones can have the greatest season ever from a rookie quarterback will be dictated by the Patriots' success. Justin Fields ranks as the sixth-best passer when kept clean, and the second-best among 2021 rookies (after Mac Jones).

15 overall and won, giving Bill Belichick his next franchise quarterback. Heres how all the players are stacking up. Mills was also good at extending plays and throwing outside the pocket, though that's not a focal point of his game. 2 prospect behind Lawrence.

Grading the NFLs rookie QBs, from Mac Jones to Justin Fields, 4 ways Kevin Durants trade request can end. Moreover, Fields recorded the best big-time throw rate (34.8%) of any passer in the dataset. I highly suggest any Bears fan go read his Fields articles. Stats:12 games (10 starts), 1,870 yards, seven touchdowns, 15turnovers (10 interceptions, five fumbles), 155.8 yards per game, 73.2 passer rating. On top of that, his 4.3 turnover worthy play rate was the worst among passers, tied with Trey Lance. Even though Jones has played like a seasoned veteran, his numbers have largely gone unnoticed thanks to the Patriots' top-ranked scoring defense and the mystique of Belichick -- who is arguably the greatest defensive coach in league history. Not only is the Patriots' rookie lapping the field in all the major statistical categories, he's on pace to have one of the greatest seasons for a rookie quarterback in league history. Also encouraging isFields' explosive athleticism.

The Top 10 Madden 23 ratings at every position. Roethlisberger was the first rookie quarterback to start the majority of his team's games and reached the conference championship game, followed by Joe Flacco (2008, Ravens) and Mark Sanchez (2009, Jets).

Because big-time throws are rare at short throw depths, big-time throws were not included in the ranking.

Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. The vast majority of his passing yards have been in garbage time when the game is far out of reach, and despite being given 181 passing attempts this year, Wilson is only averaging 6.5 yards per attempt with no appreciable improvement. While the critiques of his processing were highly overstated, that was something that was apparent for himin 2021, especially in the short and quick game. What we saw that was good: Arm strength, physicality, not afraid to truck a defender or two on his way to the sticks. An organization used to working around a players physical limitations, the rookie has quickly become comfortable in the New England offense and looks like a long-term starter for the franchise. It feels like he must have been very risk-averse in this part of the field, only throwing to it when players were wide open. Jones became the first rookie quarterback in NFL history and the first Patriots player to ever complete at least 80% of his passes in back-to-back games (minimum 20 attempts), accomplishing the feat in Week 10 against the Browns and Week 11 against the Falcons.

Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports. This was steeped in the belief that players making the jump from college to the NFL needed time and grooming to learn a pro offense and adjust to the speed of the game. How Justin Fields ranks and compares to the average rookie QB and which stat categories are most correlative to future success. He had the same amount of turnover-worthy plays behind the LOS as every QB above 0%. I decided to look at the following passing specific situations (per PFF): I want to point out that because all this data is for pass attempts, it does not include any adjustment for rushing prowess or success. 2022 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. I believe that his deep ball will stand the test of time, but it is impossible to be sure. The obvious is his poor completion percentage and not seeing the field as well as he should, but outside of this theres not a lot to really dislike with how Lance has played in limited time. QBs who rank in the top half of rookie passers from a clean pocket average EPA/Play of 0.079. 18 rushing attempts, 44 yards, 0 TDs. Chicago seem allergic to letting Fields run the ball, and that hasnt helped matters but its the lack of big plays thats concerning. Injuries also hampered Fields quite a bit: He dealt with rib and ankle injuries that kept him out for a few games. Dropbacks under pressure are extremely variable and outcomes are inconsistent. Because I want a QB that looks to hit home runs when he is in a clean pocket. 2004-2022 CBS Interactive. Last year, we examined some of our stats for rookie quarterbacks and determined how each statistic in the rookie season correlates to the same statistic in future years. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. The risky plays here are a major concern. Chicago Bears Madden 23 RB Ratings: David Montgomery Got What? NFL rookie QB grades 2021: Mac Jones sets standard; Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson struggle in first seasons, Ranking the NFL's open head coaching jobs from best to worst, Matt Cassel points out that there are certain mechanical things. Therefore, while Justin Fields was below average in accuracy from a clean pocket, he was above average in big-time throws, and well above average at avoiding risk. Playing quarterback is hard. NBA Summer Leagues 13 best rookies in 2022, ranked. He finished with the second-best completion percentage by a rookie QB in history, mere percentage points behind Dak Prescott's 67.8. The PFF data for rookie QBs goes back to the 2009 season. 1. 38 rushing attempts, 168 yards, 1 TD, Justin Fields, Bears Because the deep pass might only happen a few times a game, it cannot be the basis for what a QB does. Once your account is created, you'll be logged-in to this account. He also obviously landed in the best situation, joining a team that went 7-9 last season and invested heavily in the offense -- with two tight ends and two wide receivers added in free agency -- this season. 18 rushing yards. 72 rushing attempts, 420 yards, 2 TDs, Mac Jones, Patriots Maybe fans should have seen it coming when the Patriots decided to sign two top-end tight ends in free agency tight ends are a rookie quarterback's best friend further devoting to the things that Jones does well: Throw short, throw quick, find the open guy and move the chains. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated.

Because Fields only threw 22 passes behind the LOS, his one turnover-worthy play is shown at a rate of 4.2%. Lets rank and rate every QB in the NFL. A horrific start to the season has given way to three solid starts that saw him finish with a passer rating of 90.0 or above, and things are headed in the right direction. This was a crop that once involved just the five first-round quarterbacks, but Davis Mills has since been added to the group. He had the 32nd ranked adjusted completion percentage (57.7%). That bodes well for his future. 1,870 yards, 6.9 Y/A, 155.8 Y/G We just haven't seen enough of him. Lets rank the most impressive rookies we saw in Summer League. 69.7 rating Through all that,Wilson had some of those "Wow" plays throughout the 2021 season and flashed the potential to remind people why he was a top prospect in the draft. Live picks, grades and reaction to the 2022 NFL Draft. Herbert is the all-time leader in that department, having thrown 30 in just 15 games last year. Davis Mills throwing the second-most TDs among this year's rookie class -- in just 11 starts and 13 games, no less -- was certainly not expected by anybody. That all said, it was an incredibly uneven year for Fields. We dont spam! Knowing which is "reason" and which is "excuse" is the key. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | Results-based analysis is seldom helpful, but you also shouldn't ignore the outcome or the final line. The data paints a picture of a QB who is trying to do too much when faced with tough situations. No two rookies will perform the same over a 17-game season. Ive been nice, so now we need to get into this. Therefore, I decided to inspect a few statistical categories for the Chicago Bears young passer and compare them against the average rookie QB. 603 yards, 8.5 Y/A, 100.5 Y/G Please enter valid email address to continue. Learn how your comment data is processed. But, to turn it back positive, Lawrence never got gun-shy, and that's something to build on learning what you can and can't get away with in the league is something that's important for rookies to learn in practice and when the rounds are live. Fields' 367 scramble yards ranked best among the rookie passers, and his 420 rushing yards paced the class. 111-of-171 (64.9% completion), 1,047 yards, 5 TD, 7 INT 74.4 passer rating. 71.9 passer rating Justin Fields ranks 44th for throwing behind the LOS, and the worst among 2021 rookies. While Shanahan has done well to use some of his skills to the offense's advantage, Lance has to work on his ball placement and anticipation to really get to the next level in 2022. Jones is just two games away from tying Dak Prescott's rookie record of nine -- with six games to play. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Finishing with 312 yards and 3 touchdowns, Mills was a huge problem for New England and showed serious traits of a franchise QB. Mills' 7.8 average depth of target (ADOT) was the lowest of any of the QBs on the list, meaning he didn't exactly push the ball deep with consistency in 2021 (even though he did make due on those opportunities). The average QB in the dataset had an average depth of target from a clean pocket of 8.15. I like spreadsheets and football. But we can try to use this data to create a baseline for how similarly ranking QBs have turned out. We will follow last years template and look at the quarterbacks from three different angles: Rankings&Projections |WR/CB Matchup Chart |NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards | NFL Player Props Tool | NFL & NCAA Power Rankings That's probably a product of the skill position cast more than him, andthat's something that will likely work itself out over another full NFL offseason. The five first-round picks in the 2021 NFL Draft quarterback class had a rough go of it in 2021, with different degrees of bad-ness. Without questions Jones has been the best of the rookie quarterbacks so far, which isnt necessarily a surprise given his skills and football IQ. 213-for-383, 55.6% Jones already has eight wins as a rookie quarterback, the most in Patriots history (surpassing Jim Plunkett's six in 1971). No two situations are alike, and most of the time, legitimate reasons for sub-par performance arelabeled as excuses. Similarly, short passing, passing behind the LOS, and passing under pressure are only weakly correlated to future NFL success. The lowest upside of any of the top quarterbacks in the draft, Mac Jones was perfect for New England because he had a very high floor the Patriots could utilize from the jump. This is why I value a QB who stays aggressive in clean situations and can deliver without putting the ball at risk. 22 TDs, 13 INTs All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. His cannon arm and speedy footwork immediately drew comparisons with Aaron Rodgers, and with that came a lot of pressure for the No. That wasn't initially something we thought would be a problem given his history of leadership at Clemson, but thus far Urban Meyers disastrous first season has had a horrible effect on Lawrence. The big thing youre looking out of a rookie is some sort of sign they can hang in the NFL, and there have been definite flashes from Lawrence this season. 73.2 rating Among the 31 quarterbacks who were on the field for 500 of their teams snaps this year, the rookies rank 12th (Mac Jones), 23rd (Justin Fields), 26th (Trevor Lawrence), 28th (Zach Wilson) and 29th (Davis Mills) in PFF grade. After the 2020 season was a very good year for rookie quarterbacks on the field, the 2021 season marked the return of the usual growing pains for first-year signal-callers. PFF's Big Board for the 2023 NFL Draft offers three-year player grades, combine measurables, position rankings, and in-depth player analysis for all of the top draft prospects. Stats:13 games (11 starts), 2,664 yards, 16 touchdowns, 11 turnovers (10 interceptions, one fumble), 204.9 yards per game, 88.8 passer rating. section: | slug: mac-jones-by-the-numbers-patriots-rookie-quarterback-on-pace-to-rewrite-record-books-in-year-one | sport: football | route: article_single.us | A rookie that isn't afraid to throw deep and allow plays to develop is a good sign for future progress. The biggest question for Lance is what will become of Jimmy Garoppolo, and how much of the offense Kyle Shanahan will be willing to change to cater to Lance's skillset. Read our privacy policy for more info. 16 TDs, 10 INTs The average QB in the dataset had an average depth of target when pressured of 10.7. What's really next? Therefore, Justin Fields was above average in his deep accuracy, well above average in big-time throws, and about a little better than average at avoiding risk. In review, among 45 rookie QBs since 2009 through their first ~350 dropbacks, Justin Fields ranks as follows: The most telling areas are intermediate passing and passing when kept clean. Selected in the third round as a security blanket at a time it simply seemed like Deshaun Watson was unhappy, Mills rookie campaign was turned on its head following the serious allegations of sexual assault against the Texans franchise quarterback. The QBs ranking in the bottom half average -0.041 EPA/Play. Here's a look at all of the QB stats, listed by draft order. January 10, 2022 / 3:24 PM 12 TDs, 17 INTs He threw to the intermediate the 12th most often (24.1%), with the 21st ranked adjusted completion percentage (58.5%). 263-for-394, 66.8% Over his last five games, Mills finished with nine touchdowns to two interceptions, for a passer rating of 102.4. As the chart tells us, deep passing success as a rookie has a very weak correlation to long-term NFL success. Over the same span, he turned the ball over 10 times eight touchdowns and two fumbles lost. Deep Passing (pass attempts traveling 20+ yards beyond the LOS through the air), Intermediate Passing (pass attempts traveling 10-20 yards beyond the LOS through the air), Short Passing (pass attempts traveling 0-9 yards beyond the LOS through the air), Passing Behind the Line of Scrimmage (LOS). On deep (20-plus yard) throws, he threw two touchdowns to four interceptions (not great) but his 16 big-time throws (per PFF) ranked as the best of all the rookies. But for now, the Patriots' young QB -- thefifthpasser taken in the draft -- has gotten quite the head start on his peers. How does Jones stack up with the greatest rookie seasons by a quarterback ever? The Patriots took the gamble Jones would fall to No. Wilson has played atrocious football since Week 1. Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars3-14 record There have been some flashes, but thats really all we can say. Wilsons worst traits of forcing passes that arent there and constantly going for the big play, even when he shouldnt, have basically destroyed his season and a lot of the confidence fans had in him. Now thats all changed. Unfortunately, the more difficult throws could not bail him out here, as he ranked 19th in big-time throw rate (5.3%) and 35th in turnover-worthy play rate (6.9%). So, putting a wrap and a cap on the 2021 rookie class and omitting a few (sorry, Ian Book) here's the final report card on the neophyte passers: MORE: Ranking the NFL's open head coaching jobs from best to worst. Passing to the intermediate returns a correlation coefficient of 0.44, which represents a correlative factor (not to be confused with a strong correlation). We also get your email address to automatically create an account for you in our website. Hot off the best game of his career, in which Jones threw for 307 yards against the Jets, we could see his development hit a higher gear where hes given more rope to play. A lot of Wilson's learning curve in 2021 surrounded playing within the Mike LaFleur-led offense, which is something that he learned to do as the season progressed. 7 TDs, 10 INTs New York wasnt a team poised to support a rookie quarterback starting from the jump, but Wilson was thrust into the limelight early and is taking his lumps. 334 rushing yards, two touchdowns. To his credit this has improved over the last two weeks, but at some point completing a lot of passes and moving the chains isnt good enough, and you need to have a quarterback with the ability to routinely gash defenses for 20+ yards when they make a defensive error. 174-for-247 (70.4% completion), 1,779 yards, 9 TD, 6 INT 92.8 passer rating.

Additionally, he ranked 45th in turnover worthy play rate (4.2%). Among QBs who threw deep more than 12% of the time, the average adjusted completion rate was 40.8%. Because big-time throws are almost non-existent behind the LOS, big-time throws were not included in the ranking. Does that mean that Mills' season was more smoke-and-mirrors? 2-9 record PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Taking over for a struggling Andy Dalton, Fields has not faired better with the ball in his hands as Chicago now find themselves at 3-4 and failing to put a campaign together that might take them to the playoffs. Additionally, he was slightly below average in both big-time throw rate and turnover-worthy play rate. He attempted just 42 deep passes, the lowest among the rookie QBs. Over the final stretch of you season, youcan see what made Wilson the No. This piece will not cover the same depth of concepts as Johnathan Woods articles did, as it is more geared toward rookie passers. When you calculate big-time throw rate over turnover-worthy play rate, only two rookie passers have been better from a clean pocket since 2009: Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan.

Check your inbox or spam folder to confirm your subscription. 2022 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. Therefore, among the more aggressive passers when pressured, Fields was slightly below average in accuracy. While these might show a little bit of correlation, they are not crystal balls either. Therefore, I matched that number as closely as possible for each QB. 184 rushing yards, four touchdowns. following the serious allegations of sexual assault against the Texans franchise quarterback, The gore, guts and horror of an NFL fumble pile, I understand why Andrew Luck retired, because Ive been in his shoes, 10 unwritten rules to not screw up your NFL jersey number, The never-before-revealed details of the infamous Eli Manning draft-day trade, NFL referee Sarah Thomas doesn't have time for your nonsense. The Patriots quarterback is on pace to throw for 4,037 yards this year, which would make him just the fifth quarterback ever to throw for 4,000 yards in his rookie season. The other first-round rookie quarterbacks have struggled in their first season -- except for Jones. Jones has of course been steady if unspectacular while leading the Patriots to a 10-7 record in his first professional season.

With the 49ers devoted to Jimmy Garoppolo in 2021, Lance got a very limited amount of snaps, starting just two games and appearing in a few others with just a handful of snaps. 3-10 record Surprisingly, Fields big-time throw rate to the intermediate does not match his deep passing numbers. The accuracy here is concerning and could speak to his ability to make pre-snap reads and follow up with adjustments post-snap. 3,641 yards, 6.0 Y/A, 214.2 Y/G While struggling early doesnt mean a quarterback will never be good, in most cases these days we can expect a player to continue on whatever trend they establish in the league unless major personnel or coaching changes are made. Well, we cannot. He'll be better in 2022. While he made his living in the short and medium-range game this year, Jones' 58 deep-throw attempts ranked second in the class behind Trevor Lawrence (62) and has 19 big-time throws in that range the most of any of the quarterbacks in the class.

88.8 rating But before we get into the nitty-gritty of QB grades though, a few things on rookie quarterbacks: The NFL is hard, man.

Really, all the things that the Niners drafted him for.

That's very encouraging. That showed all throughout the 2021 season. While my main focus is Chicago Bears, I also write about the NFL as a whole. How can we take this data and try to turn it into an all-telling crystal ball?

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